This total is way too high in my opinion for a game that is going to be won by running the ball and scoring defense. Both teams are ranked at the top in scoring defenses. The Jets #7 and the Vikings #2. The Vikings have struggled mightily on defense and they get Randy Moss to add to Favre's weapons.. The bye week helped, but Favre faces a Jets defense that will look to keep him in check with the return of Pace and Revis.. I think Favre starts to put it together soon here, but not this week on the road against one of the better pass defenses in the league when healthy and now they are. Peterson will get lots of rushes and the same goes on the other side of the ball. Vikings also have a top 10 rush defense that will be put to test by the #1 running game.. Again I don't see the Jets being able to do much with the running game and the Vikings have an under rated secondary ranked #7 and they faced the Saints who like to bomb it away as well as the Lions who normally pass 75% of the time yet they are still ranked at #7. The Jets #4 scoring offense may open some eyes and be jumping in bed with Mark Sanchez, but he has faced some very bad secondaries and overall defenses in the Bills, Dolphins and Patriots. I think he struggles and the Jets will run a lot tonight.
Braves now down 2-1 are desperate at home vs. the Giants and a new starter in Bumgarner who they have never seen. The lefty has been solid with a 6-3 record on the road and a 1.91 ERA. He pitched in clutch games down the stretch so I don't anticipate this moment beeing bigger than him. On the other side Lowe remains hot and has owned the Giants I mean absolutely owned them. He hasn't had a bad start vs. them in quite some time including his start in game #1 where he only gave up 1 ER. Atlanta's ballpark is #20 out of 30 for OPS so it's not known as a hitters park and I think the total of 7 runs which has dropped down from 7.5 is a bargain considering all of these games have just about gone under. Both teams continue to struggle scoring runs and the under is 19-7 in the Giants last 26 vs. a RH starter while the Braves are 9-2 on the under in Lowe's last 11 vs. a winning team.
